Saturday, March 22, 2008

Conference Expectations

Conference Performance (Round 1)
7-1 Big East
5-1 Big 12
3-1 ACC
3-1 Big 10
3-3 Pac 10
3-3 SEC
1-0 CUSA
1-0 Horizon
1-2 A10
1-2 WCC
1-1 MWC
1-1 Sun Belt
0-1 MVC

Of course, while the SEC got 6 bids, it is worth noting that they did not receive very many good seeds, so the SEC wasn’t expected to do very well in the tournament. Let’s jump back to PASE, or performance against seed expectations for a moment.

Given the seeds each conference received, how many wins is that conference expected to get in the tournament?

11.04 Big East
9.15 Pac10
8.64 Big 12
7.83 ACC
5.89 SEC
4.89 Big10
3.36 CUSA
2.77 A10
1.74 WCC
1.34 MWC
1.17 MVC
1.11 Sun Belt
0.87 Horizon

I’ll keep track of how each conference does relative to expectations over the next few weeks.