Friday, March 9, 2007

Bubble Update

The only change since my Tuesday Night projections is that Air Force fell out, and Florida St. earned their way back in. Florida St. is still not a "lock" by any stretch of the imagination.

In              Conf T50  N50 BL NCSOS Final9    RN  RPI
Texas Tech      B12  4-5  4-4  2   63  LLWWLWWWW 8-8  46
Purdue          B10  4-6  6-2  2   91  LWWLWLWWW 4-9  44
Florida St.     ACC  5-11 1-0  0  112  WLLLLLWWW 6-8  38
Stanford        P10  6-8  3-4  0  108  4-6       6-7  64

Out             Conf T50  N50 BL NCSOS Final9    RN  RPI
Illinois        B10  3-8  3-2  0   40  WWWLWWWLW 8-7  34
Arkansas        SEC  4-5  5-5  2   32  WLLWLLWWW 6-9  48
Air Force       MWC  2-4  5-1  3  138  4-6       9-7  33
Kansas St.      B12  2-5  3-2  3  223  WLWLWLWLW 8-8  58
Mississippi St. SEC  3-6  4-4  2  127  WLWWWWLLW 4-9  65
Michigan        B10  4-9  1-1  1  116  LWLWLWWLW 4-8  53
Utah St.        WAC  1-2  4-5  3   83  WWWWLLWLW 9-9  55
Mississippi     SEC  3-6  3-3  2  212  WWWWLWLLW 4-10 61
New Mexico St.  WAC  1-2  3-3  3  270  LLWWWLWLW 6-7  73
Georgia         SEC  3-10 3-2  0  135  LWWWLWLLW 5-8  59
Oklahoma St.    B12  4-6  4-2  3   94  WLLLLWLLW 6-9  54


Stanford is currently my last team in. There are some other teams close to the bubble, but they have already been eliminated from their conference tournaments so they cannot hurt themselves further. Instead I list the two teams that are still alive and that can still stub their toes, Texas Tech and Purdue.

For teams on the outside, I only list teams that are still alive and that can earn their way back in. The one exception is Air Force which has the best profile of teams currently “out” of my projections and “out” of their conference tournaments. Air Force needs a miracle at this point.