Saturday, March 10, 2007

Saturday Morning Bubble Update

After crunching the numbers this morning, Purdue and Drexel are my two last teams out.
Here’s the overall breakdown:

ACC (7): North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Virginia Tech, Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech
SEC (5): Florida, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Arkansas
Pac10 (5): UCLA, Washington St., Arizona, Oregon, USC
Big 10 (5): Ohio St., Wisconsin, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan St.
Big East (7): Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Notre Dame, Marquette, Syracuse, Villanova
Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas A&M, Texas, Texas Tech
MVC (3): S. Illinois, Creighton, Missouri St.
MWC (2): UNLV, BYU
WAC (2): Nevada, TBA
A10 (2): Xavier, TBA
CUSA (1): Memphis
Horizon (2): Butler, Wright St.
CAA (2): VCU, Old Dominion
One Bid Leagues (18)

In, But Look   Conf T50 N50 BL NCSOS   L10     RN  RPI
Louisville     BE   2-7 5-2  0  144    7-3     7-5  36
Vanderbilt     SEC  5-5 5-3  3  132    5-5     5-8  49
Indiana        B10  5-8 2-2  0  151    5-5     5-10 29
           
In             Conf T50 N50 BL NCSOS   L10     RN  RPI
OldDominion    CAA  4-3 2-2  3   32    9-1     9-6  40
MissouriSt.    MVC  3-6 6-3  1   50    7-3     10-6 35
Illinois       B10  4-8 3-2  0   38 WWWLWWWLWW 9-7  31
Arkansas       SEC  5-4 5-6  2   33 WLLWLLWWWW 7-9  37 
TexasTech      B12  5-6 2-3  3   61    6-4     8-9  53
Syracuse       BE   3-7 5-1  2  122    7-3     6-6  51
MichiganSt.    B10  6-9 3-2  0   49    5-5     4-10 23
           
Out            Conf T50 N50 BL NCSOS   L10     RN  RPI
Purdue         B10  3-5 7-3 2    92 LWWLWLWWWW 5-9  41
Drexel         CAA  2-4 5-2 2     7    7-3     14-5 45
Stanford       P10  4-8 5-4 0   116    4-6     6-7  66
OklahomaSt.    B12  4-5 4-2 4    89 WLLLLWLLWW 7-9  44
MississippiSt. SEC  4-6 4-4 2   126 WLWWWWLLWW 5-9  58
KansasSt.      B12  2-5 3-2 3   225 WLWLWLWLWW 9-8  56
Mississippi    SEC  3-6 4-3 2   211 WWWWLWLLWW 5-10 57
FloridaSt.     ACC  5-9 2-3 0   108    4-6     6-9  42


From the beginning, my question has been whether I can design a formula that comes close to the tournament field, and here is my output. If you want to hear extended arguments why Florida St. deserves to be in and Missouri St. deserves to be out, adjust the field as you desire. Will there be anymore party crashers today?